after two cabinet resignations, a completely shit brexit plan, and rumours of a snap general election, let’s take a glance back to what we were promised for 2015-2020.
Brexit negotiations be like…
Apparently people in the UK are shocked to discover that shop shelves will be empty after only a few days.
This comes to no surprise to me, and it should’t to anybody else. Below some pictures I took of what supermarkets in Scotland looked like last winter, when slightly heavier than usual snow interrupted the just in time supply chain for only 3 days:
So if you support hard Brexit, food and fuel shortages is a price you must be willing to pay. And the is not fear-mongering, just an inevitable consequence:
What do you mean “unexpected”?
And the obvious market reaction: Pound Decline Deepens as U.K. Jobless Rate Unexpectedly Climbs (Bloomberg)
If you have recently been fired due to Brexit, remember to keep a steep upper lip, and be cheerful. After all, it won’t be as bad as a Mad Max-style world!
Brexit as promised in 2016:
Brexit as promised in 2018:
Britain will not be “plunged into a Mad Max-style world borrowed from
dystopian fiction” after it leaves the EU, the Brexit secretary has
Well, that should set the bar nice and low. Brits can expect something slightly better than a Mad Max style wasteland.
By replacing present policy with the construction of enormous cannons on
the cliffs of Dover, stuffed with cash and able to fire twice per
minute, British taxpayers could save billions.
“Another option is to invest 20 per cent of our GDP in gold dust and
introduce it to the water supply so that as a country we would literally
piss it away.”
Good analysis by Ian Dunt …
Things are going OK, right? We’ve got that first-phase agreement. Next they’ll talk transition and then a trade deal. Maybe everything’s going to be alright.
Hah, you poor fool. No, we’re still screwed. Take a closer look at that first-phase agreement. […]
The problem lies in Section 49, which you can read here. […]
Why don’t you summarise it for me instead.
It pledges there will be no hard border between North and South Ireland. There are three stages to preventing it. First through the “overall EU-UK relationship”. If that fails, through “specific solutions”. And if that fails, through “full alignment” on the rules of the single market and customs union.
But just for Northern Ireland?
No, the deal also rules out a border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK, so any regulatory alignment here counts for all of us.
What’s the problem?
The first stage is impossible by virtue of government policy, the second stage is impossible by virtue of objective reality and the third stage just makes no sense at all.
… and remember, this agreement is legally binding!
Full article can be found here and is well worth reading: http://www.politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/01/18/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-brexit-endgame-in-five
This letter from David Davis (Minister for DExEU) to Theresa May (Prime Minister) has been optained and published by Financial Times
The letter has since been confirmed real by No10.
So yeah, if you are sitting in Europe still thinking: nobody can be that stupid, this must be some kind of trick. No, it isn’t. They really are that incompetent.